First Published: 2012-06-17

 

High prices exacerbate Sudan's burgeoning poverty

 

Experts argue financial problems facing Sudan stem from its dependency on oil revenues, its failure to diversify economy.

 

Middle East Online

By Simon Martelli – KHARTOUM

Plate of ‘fool’: Five Sudanese pounds

Iman is grateful at least that she is healthy. But the Sudanese mother of two says she struggles to feed her family and fears for the future, as an economic crisis bites and food prices soar.

"Last year we used to buy meat three or four times a month. Now we buy meat just once per month, and sometimes we go without," said the 35-year-old, who is pregnant with her third child.

"Praise be to God, I'm okay now because my health is good. But everything is getting more expensive. I'm very worried about the future," Iman said, as she shopped in a market in Khartoum with her two-year-old son.

Sudan's economy is reeling, hit by soaring inflation and a rapidly depreciating currency, following the loss of three-quarters of Khartoum's vital oil revenues when South Sudan seceded last July.

Since then, costly armed conflict on its southern border, which resulted in extensive damage to infrastructure at Heglig, Sudan's main oil field, in April, has accelerated this trend, with the government desperately searching for solutions.

In a report late last month, the International Monetary Fund described the economic challenges the country faces as "daunting."

Inflation officially hit 30.4 percent in May, compared with 28.6 percent in April, the central statistics bureau said last week, although some economists say the real figure could be more than 40 percent.

Traders say the price of beef has more than doubled over the past 12 months, from around 15 Sudanese pounds ($2.7) last year to as much as 35 Sudanese pounds ($6.4) now.

One plate of "fool", or stewed fava beans, a poor man's fare in Sudan and across Arab countries, has gone up over the same period from two Sudanese pounds to four or five now.

But the high prices hitting families in Sudan are set to jump if, as widely expected, the government follows through on a decision it has been mulling for weeks, namely to lift fuel subsidies which it can no longer afford.

Shopping in another market in Khartoum, Sabir Jumaa, 50, says he has already cut back on what he buys for his family, including meat.

"But there are some things we cannot avoid paying for, like medicine for the children and school expenses. If the government removes fuel subsidies we will be in a critical position," the private company employee added.

Economists and some within the ruling National Congress Party itself warn of the consequences of such a move, especially for Sudan's burgeoning poor.

"Definitely the burden of this and the social cost of this will be borne by the low income groups and the poor... These are the people who will suffer," Mohammed el-Jak, professor of economics at the University of Khartoum, said.

Even the finance minister, Ali Mahmud al-Rasul, admitted during a speech in parliament last week that it was the policy of what he called a "bankrupt state."

In another move to reduce its expenditure, the government is also expected to abolish a number of ministries, as well as possibly dissolving state legislative assemblies and even reducing the number of states.

Safwat Fanous, professor of politics at the University of Khartoum, argues that the financial problems facing the government stem from its dependency on oil revenues over the last 10 years and its failure to diversify the economy.

"It's a very serious situation... There is no quick, easy substitute for that loss of oil revenue," he said, adding that that unless the government cuts its expenditure and increases its revenues, it will run out of money.

But scrapping fuel subsidies, although economically "badly needed," will also be politically "very dangerous," as it drives up overall prices for people already experiencing serious hardship, Fanous argued.

"So there is concern among many members of the NCP that this move might cause people to come out onto the streets."


 

Is Ennahda-led government waging a mock battle to distract Tunisians?

Friends of Syria to step up rebel aid if Assad fails to commit to peace

US acknowledges killing Awlaki

Cameron: Gruesome murder of British soldier is betrayal of Islam

Al-Jazeera in uphill battle for viewers: Reality dismisses surveys

British FM: Mideast peace process urgent priority

Cloud of cynicism hangs over Kerry’s fourth visit to Israel

From secret to open role: More Nasrallah’s men die for Assad

Six killed in Lebanon’s Tripoli clashes

Mauritanian women denounce violence, rape

SARS-like virus claims another life in Saudi

'British soldier' beheaded in suspected Islamist attack

What is an Iranian drone doing in Bahrain, near Saudi Arabia?

Syria chemicals: ‘Mounting reports’ push UN to renew call for investigation

Ennahdha yields to Salafist pressure again: Ansar al-Sharia spokesman freed

New IAEA report reveals significant expansion of Iran nuclear capacity

EU approves civilian mission to help Libya tighten border security

Morsi seeks to assuage critics as pressure builds up in and outside Egypt

Hezbollah stokes fire of wide-scale civil war with role in Qusayr battle

Angry opposition suspends participation in Bahrain national dialogue

Iran distances itself from Saudi spy report

France sets aside millions of dollars to upgrade embassy security

Bouteflika’s heath: From news blackout to downpour of reassurances

12 killed in attack on Baghdad brothel

Qatar repeats Britain remarks to insist: Assad must step down!

Oman discusses US arms deal as it seeks to upgrade air defenses

Battle for strategic Qusayr: Opposition calls for rebel reinforcements

Iraq 'apologises' to Jordan over Saddam backers beating

Sectarian clashes rage in Lebanon's Tripoli

Ahmadinejad slams Guardian Council’s injustice

WHO warns world unprepared for mass flu outbreak

Friends of Syria meet for peace talks

Britain requests EU to blacklist Hezbollah

Egypt: kidnapped security personnel freed in Sinai

Canada warns of risk of Iraq returning to 'civil war'

Qusayr battle reveals widening scope of proxy war in Syria

Khamenei’s tailored election: Rafsanjani and Mashaie barred from presidential race

Egypt gears up for possible rescue operation with large security sweep

Bouteflika’s heath condition: Another Algerian state secret?

‘Crucifixion’ of Yemenis in Jizan: Everything old is new again in Saudi Arabia

Dubai successfully foils smuggling of 259 African ivory tusks

UAE court readies verdict in secret organization case

Saudi nabs 10 more Iran spy suspects

Syrian attack on Israeli patrol: Accounts contrast

Tunisia radical Islamists engage in trial of strength with Ennahda