First Published: 2012-07-12

 

IEA trims 2012, 2013 global economic growth estimates

 

International Energy Agency says weaker outlook for China, US, concerns over eurozone crisis will affect global economy.

 

Middle East Online

PARIS - Global economic growth this year and next will be less than expected, the IEA said on Thursday, because of a weaker outlook for China and the US and with the eurozone crisis sapping demand.

An "exceptionally challenging macroeconomic backdrop" over the past two months had forced the IEA to cut its estimates, it said, to 3.3 percent this year from the previous 3.5 percent.

In terms of oil demand, the IEA left its 2012 growth forecast at around 800,000 barrels per day (bpd) to around 89.9 million bpd, with 2013 gaining a "relatively muted" 1.0 mbpd to 90.9 mbpd, led by Asia.

Prices are expected to fall a further 7.0 percent next year, which should marginally support demand, it added.

For 2013, the global economy should grow 3.8 percent, down from a 4.1-percent estimate based on April figures from the International Monetary Fund, the IEA said.

"Concerns are mounting on the sustainability of the eurozone, there has been a definite easing in China's economic impetus and the US outlook has weakened," the International Energy Agency said in its latest monthly report.

"Ongoing debt concerns across the developed world will likely see associated austerity measures curtailing government, business and consumer expenditure levels alike," it said.

The IMF is expected to issue new economic growth forecasts shortly.

The IEA is a branch of the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development which also produces closely watched growth forecasts.


 

Egypt sends reinforcements to Sinai as speculation grows

Rising storm of violence hits Iraq hard in May

Abu Iyadh to Tunisia rulers: Thank you tyrants, but we will never be defeated!

Massive penalty brings down top executives in Kuwait oil sector

Is Egypt on verge of becoming alcohol-free nation?

Qatar emir laments international failure over Syria

Spokesman’s surrender to Mauritania deals another blow to Ansar Dine

Another ‘Bou Azizi’ in Saudi Arabia: Street vendor dies after self-immolation

Bahrain court slaps nine Shiites with jail terms over 'terrorist' cell

US drone strikes again in Yemen

15 killed in string of bomb attacks in Iraq

Battle for Qusayr: 23 Hezbollah fighters killed

Militants set their sights on mosques in Iraq

One dead in police clashes with Islamists in Tunis

UAE calls for political action to stop 'repressive Damascus’

Egypt's Morsi rejects negotiations with Sinai kidnappers

Tough measures against expatriates raise concerns in Kuwait

Maliki chooses ‘cosmetic solution’ for Iraq sectarian wounds

Clashes in Tunisia as Ansar al-Sharia clings to escalation

Strategic city of Qusayr falls into hands of Assad forces

Internet enters ‘coma’ ahead of Iran presidential election

Saudi Arabia vies to dissuade its nationals from joining ‘jihad’ in Syria

Assad, Hezbollah forces launch their promised assault on Qusayr

Iran unveils its ‘hostility’ towards Bahrain in unprecedented verbal salvo

Bouteflika’s ‘coma’ leads to censorship of two Algerian dailies

Tunisia Salafists change site of gathering in last minute maneuver

Assad casts doubt on US-Russian peace initiative

Talented Serbian Milojevic wins “Mediterranee Avenir” in Casablanca

Confrontation with Salafists looms in Tunisia: Who will blink first?

Bomb explodes near three embassies in Tripoli amid growing security fears

Yemen blames jet crashes on ‘systematic sabotage' of air force

Qaeda takes no break in Yemen: Assassination of intelligence officer

Obama sways Erdogan on Russia-US brokered Syria conference

Absence of security as violence grips Libya’s Benghazi

‘People want to overthrow regime’ in Egypt

Russia gives Assad sophisticated missiles to repel enemies coming from afar

Attacks against mosques and husseiniyahs stoke Iraq fears of sectarian strife

Ban, Lavrov call for urgent Syria conference

Bahrain forces raid home of top Shiite cleric

Iraq sectarian violence reaches new highs

Gruesome videos put Syria opposition in dire straits

Egypt police shut Rafah crossing to protest kidnappings

Four Syrian ministers, Nusra leader on US blacklist

Untold stories of Iraq war photographers

Tunisia President urges Salafists to condemn terror